ISSN 1000-3665 CN 11-2202/P

    甘肃天水大沟滑坡运动过程三维物质点法模拟

    Three-dimensional simulation of the Dagou landslide movement process in Tianshui City, Gansu Province using the material point method

    • 摘要: 高速流动性滑坡是一种危害极大的地质灾害,准确预测此类滑坡的致灾过程可为其防治措施的制定提供依据。物质点法作为一种新兴的数值方法,在滑坡运动过程模拟方面极具潜力,但该方法目前仍主要应用于滑坡剖面上的二维模拟,难以反映真实地形对滑坡运动过程的影响。为此,基于开源物质点法程序MPM3D,建立了考虑复杂滑面约束的三维物质点法模型,并对2013年7月发生在甘肃天水市大沟村的一起典型高速流动性滑坡开展模拟研究,分析了该滑坡的运动和堆积特征。模拟结果表明,大沟滑坡的运动和堆积特征受弯曲沟道地形影响明显,滑坡在运动过程中沿沟道发生多次转向,其运动速度经历了快速加速、剧烈减速、缓慢减速和再次骤减4个阶段;受沟头瓶颈区地形约束,源区大部分滑体下滑至坡脚后停止运动,仅少部分通过瓶颈区后转化为泥石流,沿沟道高速运动直至冲出沟口;滑坡最大速度出现在流通区,达23 m/s,到达沟口时,前缘仍以6~8 m/s的速度运动,造成沟口多所房屋被毁。模拟所得滑坡堆积范围及形态与实测接近,表明该模型可较好的反映此类滑坡的运动过程。

       

      Abstract: Rapid flow-like landslide is a severe geological hazard, and accurately predicting their run-out process is essential for devising effective prevention and mitigation strategies. The material point method (MPM) is a promising numerical technique for simulating landslide dynamics, and has primarily been used for two-dimensional simulations along slope profiles. However, the two-dimensional simulations cannot reflect the influence of actual topography on the run-out process of landslides. Based on the open source MPM code MPM3D, this study developed a three-dimensional MPM model that incorporates complex sliding surface constraints. A simulation of a typical rapid flow-like landslide that occurred in Dagou Village, Tianshui City, Gansu Province, in July 2013, was conducted to examine its movement and deposition characteristics. The simulation results highlight that the Dagou landslide’s path and deposition were significantly influenced by the gully’s meandering terrain. During its run-out process, the landslide experienced several directional changes within the gully, going through four distinct phases: rapid acceleration, a sharp initial deceleration, a gradual slowdown, and a second significant speed reduction. The narrow throat area connected with the gully’s head acted as a constraint, causing most of the landslide mass to come to a stop at the slope’s base. A small portion, however, continued past this constriction, transforming into a debris flow that propagates along the gully until it rushes out at the gully mouth. The landslide’s peak velocity, 23 m/s, was observed in the transport zone. Even as it reached the gully mouth, the landslide’s leading edge maintained a speed of 6 to 8 m/s, resulting in substantial damage to structures at the mouth. The model’s predictions closely match the actual deposition area and morphology, validating the model’s capability to accurately depict the movement patterns of such landslides. This study advances our understanding of rapid flow-like landslide mechanisms and demonstrates the MPM model’s potential for more detailed landslide simulations.

       

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