ISSN 1000-3665 CN 11-2202/P

    岩体圆盘型裂隙直径概率密度分布的非参数估计

    Non-parametric estimation of probability density distribution for disc-shaped fracture diameter in rock masses

    • 摘要: 裂隙直径及其分布形式是建立三维裂隙网络模型的关键参数,对工程岩体质量及稳定性评价有重要影响。为解决参数法依赖直径分布形式假设的问题,提出了一种基于迹长数据,根据圆截取弦长的比例估计直径概率密度分布的非参数法。具体方法如下:假设裂隙为Baecher圆盘,根据真实迹长分布直方图,计算各区间直径产生某一区间迹长的概率,由面密度和体密度之间的关系推出各区间直径的概率密度,进而得到裂隙直径概率密度分布直方图。为了验证方法的有效性,设计一个直径分别服从对数正态和负指数分布的模拟算例,将计算得出的直径均值和标准差与初始值进行比较,误差均在10%以内,证明该方法误差较小。最后将其应用于内蒙古满洲里市某露天矿边坡,根据实测迹长分布直方图得到裂隙直径的分布直方图,由此得到的模拟迹长与实测迹长服从同一分布,基于求解出的裂隙参数建立边坡裂隙网络模型,并对其块体稳定性进行分析,结果表明:边坡不稳定块体中单滑面块体占比较高,块体体积普遍较小。文章提出的方法可有效地估算裂隙直径的概率密度分布,对三维裂隙网络的精细表征及工程岩体评价具有重要意义。

       

      Abstract: Fracture diameter and its distribution are key parameters for constructing three-dimensional fracture network models, with significant implications for evaluating the quality and stability of engineering rock masses. To solve the issue that the parametric method relies on the assumption of the diameter distribution, this study proposed a non-parametric method based on the trace length data to estimate the diameter probability density distribution according to the proportion of the chord length intercepted by the fracture disc. Specifically, fractures were assumed to follow the Baecher disc model. Using the measured trace length distribution histogram, the probability of each interval producing a corresponding interval trace length was calculated. The probability density of each interval diameter was derived from the relationship between areal density and volumetric density, and then probability density distribution histogram of fracture diameters was drawn. To validate the method, simulation experiments were conducted using lognormal and negative exponential diameter distributions. The estimated mean value and standard deviation of the diameters were compared with the initial value, and the relative error is within 10%, confirming the accuracy of the approach. Finally, the method was applied to an open-pit mine slope in Manzhouli City, Inner Mongolia. The diameter distribution histogram derived from measured trace lengths yielded simulated trace length distributions consistent with field measurements, Based on the solved fracture parameters, the slope fracture network model is established and its block stability is analyzed. The results show that the single slip surface block accounts for a large proportion in the unstable block of the slope, and the block volume is generally small. This non-parametric method provides an accurate and effective tool for estimating the probability density distribution of fracture diameters, which is of great significance for the fine characterization of three-dimensional fracture networks and the evaluation of engineering rock mass.

       

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