Abstract:
Taking precipitation-induced accumulation landslides as the basic research object and containing rainfall and groundwater as the main load-unload parameters, the loadunload response ratio theory is used more and more widely in time prediction of landslides. However, reservoir-type landslides are seldom examined with this theory. For this reason, we propose a forecast model in this article in which reservoir water level is treated as the loadunload parameter and landslide acceleration, as the loadunload response parameter. The above model is used to verify the accuracy by taking a typical reservoir landslide-the Bazimen landslide for example. The results show that the prediction model of load-unload response ratio theory with reservoir water level as the load-unload parameter can accurately predict the time in reservoirtype landslides.